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CNBC
Jan 14, 2013 7:00pm EST
to compromise on the debt ceiling. as usual he demonizing -- demonizes republicans for hurting our elderly and the troops. meanwhile the white house won't deliver its own budget in time and still wants to raise more taxes. we're about to hear a response from a republican house member. >>> that's not all. fed chief ben bernanke is saying it must raise the debt ceiling and that the fed is going to keep buying bonds for now. on this one-month anniversary of the heinous, awful newtown shootings, the sheriff comes out in favor of banning assault weapons. "the kudlow report" begins right now. >>> first up tonight, president obama slams the republicans. he says no gimmick, no magic coins. just the plain old standoff on the debt ceiling. who is gonna blink first in this? john harwood joins us from washington with the details. good evening. >> good evening. the president used the last news conference of first term to draw an ever-brighter line with congressional republicans on the debt ceiling. they say they want dollar for dollar spending cuts to be matched with an increase in the debt cei
CNBC
Jan 20, 2013 7:30pm EST
do have some issues coming up. the debt ceiling, obviously one of them. the second question is as we start to get january's economic data, how big of a hit do we have from the tax increases, the expiration, the payroll tax hold darks and what do those numbers, which may be a bit on the soft side, do to stocks? >> absolutely. that is the question of the day, isn't it, jared? the debt ceiling debate, the u.s. set to hit that $16 trillion limit on borrowing in the next month, if we haven't hit it yet. let's take a listen to what president obama had to say about the potential battle looming in congress. >> markets had could go haywire, interest rates would spike for anybody who borrows money. every homeowner with a mortgage, every student with a college loan, every small business owner who wants to grow and hire. >> jared, how does this play out? >> well, we're beginning to hear lots of sounds from republicans that are more in a compromising mode than we heard a week ago. right now they're talking about perhaps an increase in the debt ceiling that lastins for a coup months. frankly, and
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 4:00am EST
. treasury secretary tim geithner is urging congress to raze the u.s. debt ceiling or risk causing irreparable harm to the economy. he says the government will run out of tools to avoid a default by late february, early march. the u.s. credit rating is not a bargaining chip or hostage that can be taken to avoid any political agenda. president obama again rejected any negotiation with republicans over the debt ceiling. i love the debt clock. it's almost as fast as the amount of money they're going to earn tr nike. >> and is we'll talk about that. >> meanwhile, fed chairman ben bernanke speaking monday warned the u.s. economy isn't out of the woods yet and is still at risk from political gridlock. >> raising the debt ceiling, which congress has to do periodically, gives the government the ability to pay its existing bills. it doesn't create new deficits, it doesn't create new spending. so not raising the debt ceiling is sort of like a family trying to improve its credit rating saying, i know how we can save money, we won't pay our credit card bills. not the most effect of way to impr
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 3:00pm EST
the debt ceiling that are somewhat disturbing to the markets, the eventual solutions could be every bit as disturbing. >> and even bruce mccain with the uncertainties crowneding the economy and what's going on in washington, we've had big inflows into the market and to mutual funds and other things, and that's significant for you, isn't it? >> absolutely. we've seen a willingness to take more risk. i think the downside is that we're also seeing a bit of complacency come into the market, and with uncertainties, especially the fiscal cliff the sequel ahead of us, we think there's opportunities for some disruption of that positive feel-good feeling we're seeing in the market right now. >> all right. how do you want to allocate capital then, bruce? how are you investing in this environment? >> we think it's important not to be taking too little risk, so certainly making sure that you have adequate exposure, especially to things like the emerging markets where the fundamentals of growth are a lot better than they are in the united states is clearly important, but most of all making sure
CNBC
Jan 23, 2013 1:00pm EST
to the breaking news in washington. a vote on the debt ceiling. we will get to john harwood in a moment on what it means for the white house and senate. but first, apple eamon javers on the hill. >> we expect it to pass, maybe tighter than republicans would like the vote count to be, but ultimately what the pleasure would do is extend the debt measure through to may 19th and politically what it does is rearranges the order of the fiscal fights we will have over the next couple of months and it means we will fight first over the sequester. remember that's that across the board budget cut postponed during the fiscal cliff fight in december and january. now that will be the first fight up at the beginning of march. republicans feel that that is a much more safe political ground for them to fight on than to fight over the debt ceiling which of course could threaten a default on the nation's obligations so we do expect this vote within the next couple of minutes here to pass by republicans, then it will go over to the senate side and the white house has signalled they might in fact si
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 7:00pm EST
the fiscal squabbling and the debt ceiling. you know why? the stakes are higher. we're talking human lives. those little baby angels. let's try in their memory to figure something out if stead of hurling epithat's and talking about impeaching the president and imperial presidency and all this crap. tonight i hope we'll do that. we have the president of the naacp, we have nationally syndicated lars larson and congresswoman nan hayward. i'm not opposed to types this bill. cheap shots squabbling is wrong. this is a national tragedy. we need to do something about it. ben, may i begin with you. >> sure. >> what is your position on the president's view and do you believe that if he got what he wants, it would have stopped the awful heinous tragedy at sandy hook in newtown, connecticut which is right next door to where i live? >> we're very supportive of a whole lot that's in this bill. and it's clear that this would have made it harder to get these sorts of guns in the first place, harder to buy the high capacity clips, harder for a person who was unstable, you talk about newtown or columb
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 4:00pm EST
an hour. >> expected to tee off a vote on the debt ceiling bill. what's their new plan? we'll go live to washington next, and even with the immediate threat of the debt ceiling ahead, another's contrarian view coming up. >> chip murky's quarterly result are due out now. those numbers coming up as we continue on the "closing bell." . ♪ into a scooter that talks to the cloud? ♪ or turn 30-million artifacts... ♪ into a high-tech masterpiece? ♪ whatever your business challenge, dell has the technology and services to help you solve it. there. i said it. they don't have pictures of my kids. they don't have my yoga mat. and still, i feel at home. could it be the flat screen tv? the not so mini fridge? ♪ the different free dinner almost every weeknight? or maybe, it's all of the above. and all the rest. am i home? nope. but it almost feels that way. homewood suites by hilton. be at home. >>> all right. they are teeing off this new debt ceiling bill. john boehner will be housing a meeting with key republican leaders at 5:00 p.m. eastern time. >> reporter: >> that's coming up an
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 11:00pm EST
not merely the nation's credit rating that's at risk from the debt ceiling debacle, but the full faith and credit of the republic itself? how long can we shrug off this grand canyon plunge that's coming? as we did again with another benign day, dow tipped 24 points, and nasdaq advanced .22%. this is behavior. is the market actually smarter than you and i think? i'm starting to believe the latter and tonight i'm going to tell you why. first, i don't necessarily want to invest in a country if it doesn't pay its bills. deadbeat country, but i don't mind if it can pay its bills but for a moment refuses to. constitution says it must honor its debts no matter what. i believe passionately that we will pay debts in a timely fashion. congress is supposed to hold the purse strings, but the american people are less stupid than washington thinks they are. they lived through another one of these scares. that time, we were frightened, frightened about what a ratings agency downgrade would mean to the country. do you remember where you were that weekend when we got the downgrade? i know where i
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 7:00pm EST
debt ceiling and cut spending and you can get all that done if you play your cards right. but what is the conservative advice for the republican party for the long run? what does the gop need to do to change it's message? and wheel ask pennsylvania governor comcore bet, we'll find out why people from virginia to maryland to new jersey are moving to his state and what will lance armstrong's doping admissions cost him. the lawsuits are already piling up. and possible criminal prosecution. but here is another question. could armstrong go to jail? the kudlow report begins right now. >> here is my quick take on his debt ceiling stand off. do not mess with the credit rating with the united states of america. however, you can race the debt ceiling and cut spending at the same time. on top of that, you kcan fix th $2 trillion situation. that is my take. charlie wrangle from new york and i begin with you. i don't understand why that can't be done. you can get that done. you are one of my buddies, but i object to you using the default. you have enough cash flow and the vast majority. i hate
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 12:00pm EST
that's part of the good and bad. it enables constant debt ceiling issues into the future. >> yeah. it's going to coincide with the debate in washington. thanks for helping us tap us. one last note about e-bay. overall pretty good although there was some expectations that the numbers could have been even better given the overall growth trends in mobile and what pay pal did. the ceo will be on cnbc later on this afternoon. as we hit noon let's get back to headquarters. scott wapner and the "fast money" halftime. >>> carl, thanks so much. welcome to the halftime show. four hours to go until the close. here's where we stan right now on the street. the dow is just about at the highs of the day, up six out of the past seven days. disregard what we're shearing. we're talking about the market because it's higher today and here's what we're following on halftime. banking on the financials. more earnings results are in the books. last year's darlings running out of gas or taking a breath? inside intel the stock is up 8% over the past month. what's the play right now ahead of today's numbers
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 3:00pm EST
the debt ceiling is the leverage that republicans should use to get that done? he'll join us exclusively, and i know you're going to ask him about that. >> absolutely. >> let's check out the action on the street right here. here's how things are shaping up with less than an hour to go. the dow jones industrial average hitting basically at the highs of the day. had been down around 60 points earlier. talking about a gain of 20 points on the blue chip average. fractional move at 13,527. nasdaq chart pattern looks similar. take a look though it's negative. down about nine points on the nasdaq, a quarter points lower and the s&p 500 looks like this. similar chart pattern as the dow up a fraction on the standard & poor's but still that's the high of the afternoon. let's get more on the markets in today's "closing bell" exchange by hank smith and steve from comcast funds and our own rick santelli. >> hello. >> good to see you guys. >> thank you so much for joining us. >> hank smith, we haven't heard from you in a while. let me kick this off with you. how are you investing going int
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 1:00pm EST
, ibm, j & j, google and travelers all on tap. so is the gop about to cave on a debt ceiling deal? we may know a lot more soon. there's a plan floating around washington, stop lawmakers pay if there's no solution on the debt ceiling by the deadline day. >>> and this guy, he's teed off, the golfer phil michakelson tee off over his taxes. and he's not going to take it anymore, or is he? sue herera is live at the new york stock exchange. >> earnings are front and center with j & j, dupont, travelers all out with results. more on them in a few minutes. let's get you ahead of the curve. google is getting ready to report its latest results after the bell. fears about an ad revenue and major focus on those shares. google right now is down 3 bucks on the trading session. john is in silicon valley with what investor s need to know ahead of the numbers. >> couple of important themes this quarter, mobile and mobile. mobile's impacted on the core business. as more people do searches from mobile devices, google's revenue has been coming down. it's more than likely this trend will continue as smart
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 1:00pm EST
wallet? a showdown over the debt ceiling with republicans using the threat of default to try and leverage spending cuts from the white house. representative peter welch is democrat from vermont and he has been calling for the president to envoc the 14th amendment to circumvent congress and protect the economy. congressman, welcome. good to have you with us. before we turn to the debt ceiling, i would like your reactions to the president's proposals to curb gun violence and whether you think those legislative proposals that he made have a chance of getting through either house of congress or both. >> i do. i mean, all of us are just astonished and appalled at what happened in newtown and the idea that a 6-year-old child would have 11 high capacity bullet designed by the military for combat pumped into that little child is really changing the discussion here. so i think the focus on practical things like high capacity magazines, like background checks that work, like trying to come up with appropriate assault weapon ban, these all make sense. and then his executive authority to mak
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 6:00am EST
because the debt ceiling concern and talks, it's been pretty much nonexistent on the industrial -- >> the markets at fresh five-year highs. >> yeah. it's all because we had the fiscal cliff. and it was so volatile coming into it. we saw some massive swings and massive breakdowns coming into it. it seemed like the market was all over the place. with the debt ceiling, everyone thinks they'll kick the can, raise the debt ceiling up, or get resolved within -- >> that mean the market's at risk? it would seem yes, right? >> see, if you -- my opinion of what will happen is if there's any small breakdown in it, you know, if there's threats that they may downgrade the s&p, whatever, we'll see a breakdown in s&p down to like 14.50, 14.40. but there are so many people waiting on the sidelines, so much cash. and people looking at u.s. equities over the safety play. they'll start coming in, they'll buy. it i think it's going to be a good year for the s&p this year. >> what does earnings season do? hearing from jpmorgan and goldman sachs, the financials have been a driver of major averages moving highe
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 1:00pm EST
at this point or those reports. >> michelle, thank you very much. >>> onto the debt ceiling. the deadline approaching so it washington on the verge of killing an economy that many people think is actually experiencing a very nice little rebound? we're going to ask loan ceo jim tisch when "power lunch" returns. ♪ [ male announcer ] how do you turn an entrepreneur's dream... ♪ into a scooter that talks to the cloud? ♪ or turn 30-million artifacts... ♪ into a high-tech masterpiece? ♪ whatever your business challenge, dell has the technology and services to help you solve it. >>> four days before the inauguration the latest nbc wall street journal poll is out with the breaking news. john harwood in washington. john? >> tyler, we've just got one question. the full poll comes out tonight but this shows you some of the difficulty president obama is going to face with this gun control issue he's pursuing. look at the public image of the national rifle association. it shows you it's a pretty tough target. at three different decision points after tragedies, columbine they had a n
CNBC
Jan 23, 2013 2:00pm EST
things. you are right, it buys time, kicks the debt ceiling back into may 19. that point they could borrow as much money as they like up to that point. after that they will reimpose a debt ceiling, they say. and suspect the pay of members of congress if their chamber of commerce hasn't agreed. politically wloo what it does is puts the debt ceiling fight down the list of political fights that are upcoming and it brings up the fight over sequestering. remember from the fiscal cliff. pe just kicked the sequestering back to the giping of march and political battle over spending cuts is something the republicans would much rather have as opposed to a fight over potential default on u.s. obligations in which they can be po portrayed as reckless. republicans liked it and voted for it but in the end the wlous says, it will sign the bill of the white house press secretary jay carney said it is not entirely perfect. take a listen. >> ideally we would extend a raise the debt ceiling for a long period of time. so that this is not a question. so that uncertainty that surrounded this issue of lat
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 4:00pm EST
move into the debt ceiling debate, it can be far harder to solve than the taxes, we think the market can be down for a while, and before it comes back up. >> so you're looking for a decline, and perhaps that is an entry point for some. do you agree with that? >> i think any decline is an opportunity to buy, maria. i'm very, very bullish on u.s. equities and one of the main reasons i am the u.s. energy story which i think is a story that's not being told as well as it should be. in 2012 the u.s. oil production was up 16%. that was the biggest year over year increase in u.s. oil production since 18 at which just happens to be when we started producing oil so if we think about what's going on. we have right now -- right now we produce oil at 80%, the same price the rest of the world does. we produce natural gas at 25% of the price the rest of the world does. we have cheap energy here in the united states and we feel that will drive manufacturing back to the united states, create jobs, and when all this political stuff is over, that's going to be a big story that we'll talk about ten yea
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 9:00am EST
rating again if there's a delay in raising the debt ceiling. fitch said the pressure on the aaa is, if anything, increasing. >>> we are four hours away from facebook's secret announcement in menlo park. so far, the guesses range from a facebook search engine to a facebook phone. would either product help lift the stock back with a high water mark. >>> the debate kicks off whether dell can, a, raise the money to go private, and b, reinvent itself without going through cash flow. the journal said the talks have been serious for weeks. >>> lululemon doing a downward dog this morning. raises guidance but not enough to impress investors. >>> the battle over the debt ceiling has warranted a warning from fitch. they said it will prompt a formal review of u.s. credit ratings. fitch does add it expects congress will ultimately approve a ceiling increase. the head of global sovereign ratings for fitch, david riley, will join us in the next hour. bernanke weighing in on the debt ceiling in michigan late yesterday. >> raising the debt ceiling, which congress has to do periodically, gives the gover
CNBC
Jan 21, 2013 11:00am EST
so. if what the republicans are talking about is let's have this debt ceiling skirmish every quarter, every three months, nobody is going to like that, especially the markets, and for very good reason. if what they're say something we're not going to play debt ceiling leverage anymore, which has obviously been the president's position, that's good. my feeling is it's probably the latter. i think there are enough kind of economic grown-ups in the room to really control the folks who have threatened to use that kind of leverage. >> but the senate has not had a budget resolution pass through the senate in, what is it, four years now? >> april, 2009. >> that feels to me pretty shameful frankly. i don't know the politics and i'm not exactly sure why that's the case, but isn't that a critical step in bridging the gap and making progress on these issues where you can not go to these sort of extra legal things like using the debt ceiling as leverage, but you can use the process as it is intended to be used. >> i agree, and it's an interesting quid pro quo for the republicans to agree to the
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 6:00am EST
. raise the debt ceiling or put the u.s. economy st. at risk. it's tuesday, january 15th, 2013 and "squawk box" begins right now. >>> good morning, everybody. welcome to "squawk box" here on cnbc. i'm becky quick along with joe kernen and andrew ross sorkin. we've been watching the u.s. equity futures and at least at this point you can see they do look like they're indicated to open a little lower. right now, dow futures down by about 16 points below fair value. the s&p futures are about 2 points below fair value. we have some different nebs going on at the top of the screen than we do on that fair value board. we'll check on that, as well. >>> dell is said to be in talks with private companies in reports of a possible guyout. the journal says jpmorgan is involved in the negotiations. dell shares have been soaring near an eight-month high on first word of this news yesterday. you can see up about close to 2% to the premarket sales. 64 is the last dip. in other technology news, facebook is holing a press conference today. no word on what the big announcement will be. you've heard a
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 9:00am EST
, listen, we got rid of this, let's start hiring. we may be looking at this debt ceiling, and i'm going to invoke shakespeare, the bard, that this may be much ado about nothing. i'm going there. right here. >> right now? the cliff is -- >> don't you love -- you know, when i first heard, i thought what a great title, i said no, moran, take the shakespeare course first the it's going to be claymation death match, maybe ufc, you and i watch that in our spare time -- not -- but i don't think it's as important as getting through the fiscal cliff. people are hiring again. >> dow transports continue to hit six-year highs. >> even as crude is up 95. >> it's like a market that has transport leadership. did you see union pacific? we had mike's southern on "mad money" he says point-blank, the hole has bottomed and is starting to go higher. and be good to the shutdowns, the coal plants. don't forget china has been burning coal, like you wouldn't believe. much more inventory reduction, because it is so cold. don't care maybe as much about the air. >> apparently not given what we've been hearin
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 3:00pm EST
that maybe the republicans won't go down to the wire and contest the debt ceiling increase. all these things have swept away a lot of nagging concerns and the next thing to worry about is people don't know exactly what the next thing to worry about s is. >> let's turn it over to you. what are you expecting throughout the rest of this earnings season. we haven't had any major blowoffs, but we're not talking about, you know, that great a situation in terms of revenue growth, right? how would you characterize the earnings period? >> well, i think this is really important. all of this is about expectations. we're coming out of this period where investors have ripped a quarter of a trillion dollars out of stocks in favor of bonds. now they are looking at that three-year performance number of let's say the aggregate bond index and the stock market, and they are saying, you know what? earnings, fiscal cliff, all of these things that have kept me on the sidelines, truthfully the expectations just aren't that high. we've already walked down the q4 numbers very quietly, and keep in mind we're h
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 12:00pm EST
surprised is that ryan basically came out yesterday and said we'll push the debt ceiling thing off for three months. you have china coming up with good news, better than expected gdp. ge which used to be the bellwether people focused on coming out. lots of good comments. good earnings. europe, that is sort of like stabilizing. and i do think there is more easing there. and japan which hasn't had a really roaring economy for two decades, you've got omni in there now. they're going for 2% inflation instead of deflation. don't forget how large that economy is relative to the world economies so i think the market has nothing but not green shoots but blossoming flowers. go buy it. >> so why then, doc, are you still more cautious than the other guys? >> partly because, judge, i like owning options instead of owning equities. i just do. the only times i like owning equities are like for instance when joe and i fight about stocks with nice yield. i mean whether it's a verizon or whether it is intel, if i'm talking about a 4% dividend yielder that i can get in there and write options agains
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 7:00pm EST
, congressman paul ryan says the republicans are putting a temporary debt ceiling extension on the table. but if they don't take strong measures on the spending sequester and other budget cuts, they're going to be in danger of being out of office and losing the house in 2014. >>> now, president obama, many of our leaders never seem to talk about the real root causes for crime, economic failure and violence. i'm talking about the breakdown of families. talking about the absence of faith-based moral teachings in school. and the shrinking number of people even attending religious services. can we prevent future tragedies if we focus more on family values and faith? here now to help us with this, father george william rutler the church of our savior in new york. and the rabbi shmoley, author of "the broken american man and how to fix it." rabbi, let me begin with you. most of the mass murders and horrible events are committed by men or young boys. >> that is absolutely right. >> and i want to go there because that leads me to family breakup and that there are no fathers and there are no exam
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 6:00am EST
said, well, we've got to two months until the debt ceiling. it's the 17th today and it just feels different. we're not -- we don't have a clock on cnbc showing the days to the debt ceiling when we hit it. it just seems like the market b is getting desensitized and we figure something -- it's not going to be the deal that we thought. is that true? do we know that, that it's not going to -- you know, derail this? >> my sense is, joe, you might be back to a clock in about a month. i think the one thing we learned from the fiscal cliff was don't really pay attention to anything that comes out of washington until "d" day. >> so that is what we're doing now. we're looking at individual results. >> and i think that's actually what people want. they want to trade in the market. the nice thing about you is you're talking about earnings, you're talking about things that matter to the market right now. everyone i talk to is saying i'll deal with the debt ceiling when i get there. actually, if there was a lot on worry there, we wouldn't be going, budding up against 5 1/2 year lows. clearly, p
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 5:00pm EST
play this? and where is the timing? right after the debt ceiling debate? >> yeah, i sure wish i knew on the timing. i think right now, the way we're structuring sug sessigestions i portfolios, yeah, risk on but with caution. i would go for -- i would go for more defensive stocks, utilities, dividend payers, consumer staples, things like that. we also like natural gas, north american energy. there are other special things, we're short the yen. but it changes dramatically. >> right. >> if and when you get the shock and you move to risk off, because when you don't want to own equities. >> no surprise, all the sectors you mentioned so far are very defensive. but at the same time, you see opportunity in small luxury names. why is that? >> yeah, that's the kind of thing that people even when they're stressed, they want to buy, whether it's a fancy bottle of booze , imported beer, something in a small box, maybe it's only cuff links, but it's in the blue box -- >> and that's just the desk right here, gary. >> blue box? >> you look for example at used merchandise stores, their stocks, t
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 12:00pm EST
result of all this, eamon. what sort of impact can we expect on the debt ceiling negotiations? >> reporter: well, clearly, everything in washington is linked, right? because both of these things are moving at the same time. both are deeply fundamental issues. both affect your vision of how the federal government ought to operate, what kind of government we ought to have in this country. the president just now in those remarks about gun violence saying that it represents a clash of rights. the right of freedom of religion for sikhs who are gunned down in a place of worship or free tom of assembly for those who are just trying to go shopping or see a movie versus second amendment rights to bear arms. these are very fundamental issues. same with the debt ceiling. it's a very fundamental sense of how big the government should be. both of those are going to be very hard fought and they're going to be hard fought, as you say, at exactly the same time. >> thanks so much. eamon javers for us outside the white house reacting to those proposals today from the president. >>> when we come
CNBC
Jan 23, 2013 6:00am EST
their heads. and now with the possibility of having the debt ceiling extension out to may, what you're going to see now is traders and other people that have positioned themselves to sell short-term volatility and buy it out to march. especially in the vix. now that's going to get rolled out to april, to may. you'll see this continued complacency. and when i say complacency, i don't think that's a bad thing. but the continued complacency in kind of this area of low volatility. that's just going to get extended out now. we get a couple more big earnings or good earnings surprises. and say apple comes out today with -- with some good guidance, we could see the vix call to the 11 handle which is really -- that's almost unprecedented. >> continued complacency, but the news of earnings is pushing forward? you can't fight the trend? >> no, you can't. what i'm seeing is traders especially that have wanted to be short or traders that have been buying, you know, upside calls in the vix, they're almost ready to throw in the towel. it's almost -- i don't. to say a capitulation, but guys do
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 2:00pm EST
signs" begins right now. >>> hello. welcome to "street signs." call it debt ceiling spackle. why the newest development in the debt talks is much to do about nada. don't worry, everything's fine. one analyst who says don't bail on boeing just yet, tand why por phil mickelson is ready to pack his bags and get out of dodge. also a change is coming into your atm. >>> there are no big moves in the markets, but the dow touched its highest intraday level in over five years. it is on its best monthly gain since january of 2011, and part of this move is being fueled by historic highs for the dow transports for the fifth straight session. let's get straight down to courtney reagan on the floor of the nnysc. >> we are seeing the dow outperform, making it the fifth way that the transport also hit the historic highs. we have seen this pattern of the transports outperforming the industrials since the middle of december. airlines gained the most, up about 28% since the november 16th low. but if we look at stocks overall, you mentioned t not a super exciting day from the onset. we moved in a narrow
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 7:00pm EST
, virginia, today, house republicans have agreed to take up the plan next week to extend the debt ceiling with some conditions. i think that's boring and uninspiring. let's go to the source of this cnbc contributor robert costa. . . i think it's boring, boring, boring. you tell why this is a great. are not attached to this proposal. very three months. let me say this, from all my reporting down there in eastern virginia default on the debt. so what they're trying to do is just punt on the debt ceiling and focus the spending cut fight on the upcoming continuing resolution to fund the government. >> i didn't hear any focus on spending cuts. and i didn't hear any focus on the sequester. and i'm looking at rasmussen polls that show me that the public wants across-the-board spending cuts. and you and i both know the republican base is hungry for that after getting hosed in that high tax bill. >> i think you're a bit off, larry, respectfully in that republicans i think want to have these spending cuts. but they're picking a strategic battle. and you could be right in saying they're picking the wrong
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 2:00pm EST
debt ceiling and why a leading economist thinks this fight is scarier than the fiscal cliff, much scarier. >>> plus, facebook announces something. it has to do with search. we've got questions. hopefully our guests have answers. >>> and addicted to debt. suze orman is here on why americans old and young are in hock all the way to their hairlines, mandy. >> okay. it's the biggest of 2013 and certainly no thanks there to apple's new 11-month low. in fact, check out this from our buddy guy adami. apple has now lost the equivalent of two disneys since its record high. meantime facebook stock has been building up for a bill reveal. but as julia boorstin can explain, the initial reaction to today, wouldn't you say, julia, a little underwelling. is the market missing something here? >> reporter: i'm having a hard time hearing you. facebook has unveiled graph search. this allows facebook users to search for people, places, photos, and interests. so you can search any information that's publicly available to you and go three there and get a customized google search. this appears to have th
CNBC
Jan 21, 2013 4:00am EST
, it's not just about the debt ceiling, they have to get the debt down. the debt ceiling may get raised, but it's not being tackled long-term. >> it seems every single time consistently we get the opposite outcome. which means some areas are consistent and it raises debt levels going forward. >> it seems to me as though we can't fix this one because democratically it's not possible. why? because there are so many verses who are automatically vote to increase the debt because the number of people who own entitlements or benefits is relatively high. and i think you're seeing this failure both in the u.s., in germany and to an extent in the uk. >> the trouble is for all of those economies maybe some of the european ones are under pressure by the government. but the problem is, if you look at issues in the u.s., they're just so low. there's no ability to cut in the long-term. how do you push through entitlement reform and address those issues, especially if there's no market pressure right now? >> my sense is that you don't. i don't understand how that can be achieved and, therefore,
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 4:00pm EST
contagion story. not done but off the table for now. obviously things like the debt ceiling and the dysfunction in washington are reasons for concern, but i think one of the factors that's underpinning the equity market is the fact that bonds rates, u.s. interest rates, it's a tired story and folks are getting very frustrated fighting bernanke. >> gordon, let me ask you what you're seeing in terms of flow. first of all, what happened at the end of the day here? i turn my eyes away from the ticker for a moment, and the market is up 53 points. what was the flow at the end of the day, and would you go into next week holding technology? is that another weak spot, do you think, next week as stephanie just pointed out that a lot of industrial names, the real economy stories, are going to start driving things? >> well, maybe. they were buying beamary little bit and beamer reports next week, too. you can't turn your head for a minute in this market. washington puts out a little blush they will start cooperating with each other, that seems to be a little bit of a catalyst. kind of gave us an
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 9:00am EST
there not be crisis after crisis dealing with the debt ceiling. >> you said last night, you've got to put on a yogi bear costume to make sense of it. >> returning a lot to shareholders. >> one wonders. >> $12 million they're talking about. >> they have been increasing, of course, ever since the huge cuts that had to take place. what is it going to be now, four years ago, right? >> that period, $6. >> yeah. >> march of '09. amazing, coming up on the four-year anniversary. >> do you ever worry about your paycheck? >> yeah. i think you worry about money you had in any bank account or anything. sure. ge was to cushifocused in the ff '08, that was the moment where it could all come to -- >> that was after the ge bailout. >> sorry, not to revisit the -- >> we have to remind people where we came from. tim geithner leaving, david faber is worried about his paycheck. >> speaking of paychecks, let's talk morgan stanley. wall street firm reporting fourth quarter earnings 45 earlier on squawk, james gorman said his firm is poised to improved market environment. which shows a lot of promise if unc
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 11:00pm EST
have emotions. they aren't about the fiscal cliff or the debt ceiling or the election. it is totally working this market. so i have to go back to the mathematical well. what can i tell you, we want to know what the queen thinks it could go next. take a look at this chart. the s&p said it would. and shortly thereafter she told us that the low was likely to be pivotal, as a key part of her methodology. you heard me talk about fibonacci ratios. these numbers are 23.6%. 38.2%. 50 % and 69.1%. it is eerie and according to many technicians it is a crucial turning point in price targets. and you apply the ratios that i mentioned and there is always an important level for that security. based on that low the s&p was ready to roar and she gave us a price target of 1510. last time we highlighted her work she said that if the s&p could break out it would be a straight line straight shot to her 1510 target. sure enough, i went back to her for info. so what does she think about the s&p prospects right now? since it took out the key high it made on december 18th before the big end of the year sell
CNBC
Jan 23, 2013 4:00am EST
through the u.s. elections, ahead of the debt ceiling debate. in some sense there isn't an immediate crisis. it's a question now whether ceos can get through the real economic fundamentals. in some ways we're betwiked and between, kelly. >> i like the scarf, ross. >> yeah. that's the point. look, there's plenty to come on our coverage today. let me recap some of the people we're going to be talking to. john lipinski, formerly of the imf. and hamish tyrwhitt, construction group out of australia. we saw rates dip a little today. suggesting there's room to cut rates. and the executive dean of peking university. we're more relaxed about china, more relaxed than three or four months ago. we'll get the inside there. all of that is coming up on today's "worldwide exchange." how are the markets looking? >> perfect. we'll check the markets in a second. i want to bring news out of the bank upon spain saying fourth quarter gdp was down 1.not -- 1.7% drop, it was .6 drop. pretty large. and 2012 gdp down 1.3%, down from a contraction of 0.4% in 2011. more difficult news for the spanish
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 11:00pm EST
us debt. we are being told that the debt ceiling wrangling could be even worse for the country than going over the fiscal cliff. how is that for frightening? senator freddy krueger versus representative jason, hush-hush sweet speaker, whatever happened to baby budget? you get the picture so to speak. how about lululemon? this morning a reliable steady growth story. smaller paycheck. the end of the payroll tax holiday has to hurt retail doesn't it? and the facebook disappointment. you have this mystery announcement coming. instead we have an announcement of a tool to search information on big social networks. what a bust. yet the market didn't get hammered. there was no rally, and then we got the nap time and the fresh bull came to play into the bell. what is happening here? there have been different times along the way up where we had this same exact phenomenon like we are seeing here today. one at the beginning of the bull run. another occurred in the first three years in the '90s. we had about a half dozen since the new millennium. and every single case, every single one i can rec
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 1:00pm EST
with folks wondering what is happening here with the debt ceiling and u.s. economy but others say this is really just a lot of collectors simply wanting more coins. we are also looking at where silver plays in terms of other metals this weekend and as you can see it is clearly the winter. and it is posting the best week its nd two months time. back to you. >> thank you, sharon. >>> relatively flat on the major market indeces. >> we are positive for the week. >> you would think that stocks would be worried about the debt ceiling and yet we had word that gop controlled house might have a deal. might vote next week to raise the debt ceiling for even three months. there is a very muted reaction and what to watch here are how people are buying etfs. this is the s&p 500. you can buy it in a single stock and you might say, oh, gee, there is a move there to the far right on the upside when the announcement came. but it is a very, very narrow amplitude. very narrow range of trading. that's about three points on the s&p 500. the volume did pick up and we will have volume towards the heavy s
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 7:00pm EST
extend the debt ceiling. now, it gets attached to a balanced budget. >> two points, in regard to congressman welch. when you have liberal s ip the house and senate, that is their plan to spend more money. i know you are talking about our budget larry, but we have to step back. there is going to be no budget that takes place unless the senate passes a budget. but to get congress both chambers to work together, we need the senate to pass the budget. so we said no budget senate, no pay. that is a way to get the senate to engage. >> i'm not challenging your logic, but i'm challenging your process. the series of dates that is so important one is april 15th. i preseume that is paul ryan's budget. i don't see how you can vote tomorrow on a debt extepgs nsio increase and attach a balanced budget before you know what the balanced budget is. i see that as a problem. i want peter to tackle that. >> we are passing the no budget no pay act. it is going to give both chambers, the senate and the house to pass the budgets. what you are hearing is, the house is going to more than likely pass the
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 6:00pm EST
in us debt. we are being told that the debt ceiling rangeling could be worse for the country than going over the fiscal cliff. how is that for frighting? representative jason, hush-hush sweet speaker whatever happened to baby budget? you get the picture so to speak. this morning a reliable steady growth story. the end of the federal tax holiday has to hurt retail doesn't it? and the facebook disappointment. you have this mystery announcement coming. instead we have an announcement of a tool to search on big social networks. what a bust. yet the market didn't get hammered and then we got the nap time and the fresh bull came to play into the bell. what is happening here? there have been different time as long the way up where we had this same exact situation like what we are seeing here today. another occurred in the first three years in the '.90s. and every single case, every single one i can recall we get this moment where the market didn't get tired, but the analyst did. many big cap stocks had run up into their price points. and they stayed bullish or they actually even raised p
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 4:00am EST
position with the debt ceiling and spending negotiations still yet to really happen. and this is just another headwind that the economy seems to be having to face. with that in mind, you know, people are getting optimistic that we'll see a second half recovery. but that's almost in a way hope. there's nothing out there which really -- >> i've said it before, and i'll say it again, but i've heard the second half recovery issues every year. >> every year since the gfw. >> and to be honest with you, we're not seeing anything tangible out there which would indicate, yes, there's definitely going to be a second half pick up. we're expecting 2% growth this year overall. i think the risk is on the down side as opposed to the upside. >> how do you trade that? do you stay away from stocks? >> well, yes. at the moment in short-term, yes. we look at the economic growth potential pushing the rating up and with the corporate earnings still mixed, we think fundamentals are a little bit vulnerable. we think sentiment got quite bullish, which is normally a contrariry sign and we think from a technica
CNBC
Jan 16, 2013 9:00am EST
solve the debt ceiling? you panicked on the election. >> we'll try something. >> the country, the republic is in repeated crisis. you have a president saying -- he said, okay, what happens if the president doesn't have a crisis after the debt ceiling? what are you going to do if he says, listen, we're just going to go back to being like washington? that was interesting. >> we can talk about fundamentals. the economy will be picking up. housing likely to get in on it. >> maybe we're actually breaking -- maybe the valuations aren't -- >> based on what? >> come on, under wells fargo? >> michael dell, and suddenly, mr. skeptic -- >> overheated debt market, that's always a good sign for an economy. that's always a sign that things are getting a lot better. >> it's been getting overheated since 1979. >> big lbos. that worked out real well. no, i'm just -- there's housing, sales of pickups. sales of cars in europe for 2012, not so good. we'll talk about that. >> germany, the bmw sales, volkswagen sales. one of my cousins in mexico is near a bmw, new plant. the germans are down. they're b
CNBC
Jan 15, 2013 12:00pm EST
production numbers have helped gold and uncertainty come in along with debt ceiling and debt negotiations. i think it's helped gold also as people look for safety. >> do you agree that the platinum and rally has helped gold and do you think we can look at this platinum rally and make a bigger indication of what is happening in the economy? some people say it's an indication that things are really turning around? >> jackie, i think it's too heavy. the anglo american platinum pulls off 400,000 ounces of platinum per year. that's almost 7% of global demand -- production, rather. that sends the market up. when i got up this morning and looked at the screen, platinum made that 3% today. i looked at the metal sector and looked at things that were undervalued. i think gold short term will benefit but long term i think platinum is going to be a better bet. if platinum stays higher, than going through the latter part of the year, that could signal a change in the market sentiment. gold is your fear and platinum is going to be demand in manufacturing. that could signal a change but not
CNBC
Jan 22, 2013 4:00am EST
extend the debt ceiling deadline until may 19th. the gop measure doesn't specify an amount, but would lead let the government borrow what it needs to meet its obligation for that period. the strategy shift was agreed to last week and would let republicans focus on other fiscal fights in march such as ook automatic spending cuts delayed by the deal and the potential resolution. julian callow is still with us. julian, do you take this news as a positive development for markets or are you concerned about still the prospect of a government shutdown as others are calling for once we hit some of those further deadlines? >> yeah. i think that is quite positive, really. it shows that there is some desire not to up the vote too much on the side of the house. republicans at this stage. i think it's actually very important if we think about what it means for both financial markets and for the u.s. economy. obviously, financial market conditions have improved noticeably. there's less uncertainty around. that should come through in terms of stronger business confidence and that will mean hir
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 2:00pm EST
be down at the epicenter of fiscal cliffs, debt ceiling raises and sequestering. big words. beginning 11:00 a.m. for the second inauguration of barack obama. that is on martin luther king, jr. day. >> always great to be with us. that does it for this edition of "power lunch." "street signs" is up now. >>> welcome to "street signs." the news from boeing just seems to keep getting worse. an entire fleet now grounded but could this be the perfect time to buy the stock? hp has been called a value trap. but could it be a trap with value? we'll dig in. plus, why do we all make such bad economic decisions? new research may have the answer and we have it and lance, thank girl friends and electric. how does that sound. >> with six gains in seven seconds. this could be the highest close since 2007. here is another great stat. s&p at a high since 2007 as well. and the dow is on the verge of raising for the third straight year. let's go to the new york stock exchange, where, bob, we have our self a rally. >> i think the val vum on tvolun the rally. take a look at key metrics. not just the s&p but
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 5:00pm EST
cliff, which we are currently through would -- >> we have the debt ceiling. >> we'll talk about that later. look at lockheed martin today. there are those plays, as well. >> this is going to be a choppy couple of weeks. i don't think it's going to run away here, but it's very defensive. another name to look at, though, embraer, this is brazil's boeing, and these guys are getting very, very busy in the defense space in brazil, in late tip america. they are trying for contracts here, at 12 times next year's earnings, this is a very cheap stock. one of the best companies in the world. take a look at that. >> we are seeing a decline by about 4% in the afterhours session after its earnings report. jon fortt is on the conference call which just got under way. let's get the details from him. jon? >> yeah, melissa. they are talking right now about their process leadership, how they're able to make ships more efficiently than others. but taking a look at the numbers they reported, actually a little bit light on revenue. eps was better than expected. but they also got a tax benefit, the t
CNBC
Jan 17, 2013 11:00pm EST
about the economy. supposed to be crushed, absolutely annihilated about worries of the upcoming debt ceiling, and decimated, laid to waste by the end of the tax holiday. rich people stopped dead in their tracks by new tax hikes. one so steep we were supposed to switch to peanut butter and jel sandwiches, pbjs, rather than dining at three-star restaurants. pass the skippy, keep the foie gras. we find out we had the highest housing starts since the boom, climbing 12%, double where we were not that long ago. while analysts were determined to tell you the housing is about to go tepid. numbers don't fit into the scenario, not a negative one and that's the story of the market right now the bullish facts are getting in the way of the bearish story. now, i will tell you on any given day, we're capable of a serious swoon and we are due for one. holy cow. maybe dow and intel not so hot tonight can cause one -- sell, sell, sell! this feels like a moment like the mid-1980s where the bulls are in control, ala boeing today. it seems like when i was a young, curly haired kid. at goldman sachs. call
CNBC
Jan 23, 2013 4:00pm EST
personal. it's about i want jobs. >> are you expecting a fight around the debt ceiling? do you think we'll have a disruption around this inability to compromise? >> i know nothing more than you other than what i read in the paper today and it seems like they are already starting to. could mice by pushing it out and asking for a budget which i think all seems rational and compromise by the way so i applaud them. >> what does your gut tell you about all the money moving into stocks recently? had a fantastic early 2013. do you think this is sustainable? >> the economy grows it's sustainable, and i still think you can buy american companies at pretty good prices. these are some of the world class companies, you know, not just american companies, european and japanese and chinese companies, but you are still buying at fairly good prices and the alternatives aren't that good, yeah, i'm comfortable owning stocks right now. >> are you saying that kind of comfort on the part of investors, the private bank, wealth management? what are you seeing in terms of the sentiment? >> i think, yes, but
CNBC
Jan 18, 2013 11:00pm EST
number of different things, whether it be the debt ceiling, the sequester, the continuing resolution in d.c. that are on the surface. our sense is customers are gaining confidence, they're willing to make marginal investments, but they're going to be very measured steps and they're going to be reflective of a loan environment that's commensurate with a 2% to 3% growth economy. given that we think we'll get our fair share, we'll put some very profitable relationships long-term high-quality relationships on the balance sheet, and at the end of the -- this cycle, we're going to feel very, very good about how our customer business is structured and what that means for long returns. >> bryan, i've got to tell you, this group is going to get hot. i know it has to. and bryan's the chairman, president, and ceo of first horizon national. thank you so much, sir, for coming on the show. >> thank you, jim. thanks for having me. >> we still don't have the confidence. and that's really hurting a lot of the lending in this country. well, look, we get it, these stocks are going to rocket.
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